Overview
French presidential election 2027, runoff: head-to-head poll average and win probability per tested pair. Unavailable during the legal blackout (17 to 18 Apr and 1 to 2 May 2027). Use when asked how a French presidential runoff between two candidates would end. Source-attributed. Refused (503, not charged) if data is older than 30 hours.
Protocol
x402
Price
$0.02
Payment Asset
USD Coin
Payment Network
eip155:8453
Category
uncategorized
Provider
polls.karbach.digital
Indexed
2026-10-21 22:23:41
Health
Status
degraded
Latency (p50)
196ms
Uptime (30d)
100.0%
Reliability Score
100/100
Last Checked
2026-10-31 07:12:27
Last Healthy
2026-10-28 14:09:54
Consecutive Failures
0
Output Schema
{
"example": {
"data": {
"pair_probability_from_first_round": {
"Candidate A vs Candidate B": 0
},
"pairs": {
"Attal vs Le Pen": {
"latest": "0000-00-00",
"p_win": {
"Attal": 0,
"Le Pen": 0
},
"polls": 0,
"share": {
"Attal": 0,
"Le Pen": 0
}
},
"Glucksmann vs Le Pen": {
"latest": "0000-00-00",
"p_win": {
"Glucksmann": 0,
"Le Pen": 0
},
"polls": 0,
"share": {
"Glucksmann": 0,
"Le Pen": 0
}
},
"Hollande vs Le Pen": {
"latest": "0000-00-00",
"p_win": {
"Hollande": 0,
"Le Pen": 0
},
"polls": 0,
"share": {
"Hollande": 0,
"Le Pen": 0
}
},
"Mélenchon vs Le Pen": {
"latest": "0000-00-00",
"p_win": {
"Le Pen": 0,
"Mélenchon": 0
},
"polls": 0,
"share": {
"Le Pen": 0,
"Mélenchon": 0
}
},
"Mélenchon vs Philippe": {
"latest": "0000-00-00",
"p_win": {
"Mélenchon": 0,
"Philippe": 0
},
"polls": 0,
"share": {
"Mélenchon": 0,
"Philippe": 0
}
},
"Philippe vs Le Pen": {
"latest": "0000-00-00",
"p_win": {
"Le Pen": 0,
"Philippe": 0
},
"polls": 0,
"share": {
"Le Pen": 0,
"Philippe": 0
}
},
"Retailleau vs Le Pen": {
"latest": "0000-00-00",
"p_win": {
"Le Pen": 0,
"Retailleau": 0
},
"polls": 0,
"share": {
"Le Pen": 0,
"Retailleau": 0
}
}
},
"second_round": "2027-05-02"
},
"docs": "https://api.polls.karbach.digital/v1/",
"model": null,
"notice": "Scenario analysis based on published opinion polls. Not a prediction and not a voting recommendation. Coalition figures count simulated seat majorities (see ...",
"project": "Ein Projekt von Karbach.Digital (https://karbach.digital)",
"source": {
"blackout": "French law (Loi 77-808, art. 11, as amended 2016) bans publishing polls from the Saturday before each round, 00:00, until polls close on election day, 20:00 ...",
"calibration": "poll average vs official results 2017 and 2022 at the same distance to election day",
"compilation": "fr.wikipedia.org, Liste de sondages sur l'élection présidentielle française de 2027 (CC BY-SA 4.0)",
"license": "CC BY-SA 4.0 (share alike, because the poll compilation is CC BY-SA)",
"polls": "French polling institutes; every poll is filed with the Commission des sondages (link per poll)",
"polls_license": "ODbL 1.0",
"polls_license_url": "https://opendatacommons.org/licenses/odbl/1-0/",
"processing": "polls.karbach.digital (Max Karbach)"
},
"uncertainty": "win probability assumes a normal error of 4.0 points (head-to-head polls vs results 2017 and 2022)",
"updated_at": "0000-00-00T00:00:00"
},
"type": "json"
}