AAVE: One DeFi token of your choice: on-chain inflow vs price gap, tier + numeri...

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{ "example": { "as_of": "2026-11-07", "attribution": "Data: DeFi Capital Flow-Price Gap (https://defi-flow.onchainproof.workers.dev) – on-chain measured, Bitcoin-timestamped. Licensed CC BY 4.0 from 2026-11-14.", "data": { "fields": { "capacity_2pct_usd": "USD size that moves the price about 2% (measured pool depth)", "concentrated": "1 if a single asset carries >= 70% of a multi-asset protocol's outflow", "flagged": "signal tier: 3 strong, 2 candidate, 1 watch, 0 none (descriptive measured state, not advice; the tier name is NOT how well the tier is proven – see track_record for each tier's verdict)", "flow_7d_pct": "7-day net capital inflow into the protocol at constant (today's) prices, %", "gap_pp": "flow-price gap = flow_7d_pct - rs_7d_pp; signal needs flow >= 2% and gap >= 5 pp", "liquidity": "on-chain +-2% depth grade: strong >= 50k USD, medium >= 10k USD, weak below", "null": "not measured (never zero)", "risk_flag": "outflow_price_gap risk flag (r1, separate output, descriptive, not advice): 2 aggravated, 1 basic, 0 none; flow <= -2% and gap <= -5 pp", "risk_reason": "why the risk flag was set, with numbers (descriptive data, not advice)", "rs_7d_pp": "token 7-day return minus our own altcoin index, percentage points", "source_file / source_row": "the original fingerprinted CSV file and its data row (1 = first row after the header)", "tier_reason": "why the tier was assigned, with numbers" }, "protocol": { "assets": 1, "date_utc": "2026-11-07", "net_flow_14d_pct": 7.26, "net_flow_14d_usd": 333507176, "net_flow_1d_pct": 7.44, "net_flow_1d_usd": 340994847, "net_flow_7d_pct": 8.92, "net_flow_7d_usd": 403393778, "priced_assets": 1, "protocol": "ethena", "source_file": "inflow_protocols_latest.csv", "source_row": 3, "token": "ENA", "value_usd": 4924150351 }, "relative_strength": { "date_utc": "2026-11-07", "liquidity": "strong", "price_usd": 0.16403, "ret_14d_pct": -17.01, "ret_1d_pct": 0.84, "ret_7d_pct": -14, "rs_14d_pct": -5.14, "rs_1d_pct": -0.13, "rs_7d_pct": -8.15, "source_file": "relative_strength_latest.csv", "source_row": 3, "token": "ENA" }, "signal": { "accrual": "holder value not yet measured", "capacity_2pct_usd": 76459, "concentrated": 0, "dilution_warning": 0, "flagged": 1, "flow_7d_pct": 8.92, "gap_pp": 17.07, "liquidity": "strong", "positive_days_7": "5/7", "price_7d_pct": -14, "protocol": "ethena", "risk_flag": 0, "risk_reason": null, "rs_7d_pp": -8.15, "significant_assets": 1, "source_file": "flow_price_gap_latest.csv", "source_row": 1, "supply_7d_pct": 0, "tier_reason": "capital flow and price gap only; value creation not proven (no measured positive holder value)", "token": "ENA", "top_contributor": "single asset" } }, "data_basis": { "block": 26360936, "chain": "ethereum", "methodology_sha256": "fba7d9ecbc7772f782c870ba4bbd164f04547809955d75d744d77b34baf667d0", "methodology_url": "https://defi-flow.onchainproof.workers.dev/methodology", "methodology_version": "2.3.2", "null_means": "not measured (never zero)" }, "disclaimer": "Informational data computed from public on-chain records. Not investment advice. Use at your own discretion.", "extraordinary_move": [ "aave-v3/USDe", "aave-v3/sUSDe", "morpho-blue/USDT" ], "license": { "after": "CC BY 4.0", "cc_by_from": "2026-11-14", "current": "own use only (do not redistribute) until cc_by_from", "url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" }, "product": "signal_token", "proof": { "bitcoin_block": 974899, "bitcoin_status": "confirmed", "fingerprint_file": "https://defi-flow.onchainproof.workers.dev/verify/2026-11-07.txt", "fingerprint_sha256": "2f4f996ab49fca488b7d5473e8307bf934bc4f175cc3144885ec7c48b425e683", "how_to_verify": "https://defi-flow.onchainproof.workers.dev/llms.txt#verify", "opentimestamps_proof": "https://defi-flow.onchainproof.workers.dev/verify/2026-11-07.txt.ots", "slice_proof": { "example_code": "https://defi-flow.onchainproof.workers.dev/examples/", "how": "every data row carries source_file and source_row (1 = first data row after the CSV header); the SHA-256 of that file is in source_files_sha256 and in the Bitcoin-timestamped daily fingerprint; the file itself is free and byte-identical at /free/DATE/ from license.cc_by_from. Numbers compare 1:1; text fields are English translations of the Hungarian original, and the exact mapping used is public at /translations.json (same translation_rules_sha256).", "method": "file_hash", "original_free_from": "2026-11-14" }, "source_files_sha256": { "flow_price_gap_latest.csv": "512623d95419a8f7f8a1e7c6a2a391bef2671a424e99834995e6d75d61b38b98", "inflow_protocols_latest.csv": "1807731318494117e42e6bb55013e38ab28882ce7a9428b9a32010a731625e27", "relative_strength_latest.csv": "51d4d1858936bd307c8ed5444b55ba6375e6d4505e3730ea9e6ea04848c90fe9", "status.json": "6eb3836ef2fc3ea1c5d2f4af89dea4a5e2d960c93d1ed4a87128274e3e6def5c" }, "translation_rules_sha256": "b2749aa864d64e4365fb971fcd4d526331669a85772982b4255932e26755ef18", "translations": "https://defi-flow.onchainproof.workers.dev/translations.json" }, "published_at": "2026-11-07T05:43:33+00:00", "quality_gate": "warn", "schema_version": "1", "stale": false, "terms": "https://defi-flow.onchainproof.workers.dev/terms", "track_record": { "backtest_label": "past test (backtest), not live results", "backtest_version": "2.3.4", "details": "https://defi-flow.onchainproof.workers.dev/performance", "live_since": "2026-10-15", "live_verdict_status": "not evaluable yet: 28 / 60 live days in methodology 2.x", "price_policy": "not measured / 100 returning paying addresses (30 days); tiers with a live B or A verdict: none; price increase possible: no", "read_this_first": "Tier names (3 strong / 2 candidate / 1 watch) describe the measured on-chain state, NOT how well the tier is proven. How well each tier is proven is the verdict below (A works / B partial / C not distinguishable from luck). Versions must not be added together.", "required_beats_of_2000": { "14d": 1976, "28d": 1901, "7d": 1901 }, "required_test_observations_per_horizon": 20, "tiers": { "1": { "backtest_beats_random_of_2000": { "14d": 2000, "28d": 2000, "7d": 1714 }, "backtest_test_observations": { "14d": 41, "28d": 39, "7d": 41 }, "backtest_verdict": "B", "live_observations": { "14d": 1, "28d": 1, "7d": 6 }, "live_verdict": null, "meaning": "partial: proven on at least one horizon only", "name": "watch" }, "2": { "backtest_beats_random_of_2000": { "14d": null, "28d": null, "7d": null }, "backtest_test_observations": { "14d": 11, "28d": 10, "7d": 12 }, "backtest_verdict": "C", "live_observations": { "14d": 1, "28d": 0, "7d": 2 }, "live_verdict": null, "meaning": "cannot be distinguished from luck with the data so far (NOT 'worthless')", "name": "candidate" }, "3": { "backtest_beats_random_of_2000": { "14d": null, "28d": null, "7d": null }, "backtest_test_observations": { "14d": 11, "28d": 10, "7d": 11 }, "backtest_verdict": "C", "live_observations": { "14d": 0, "28d": 0, "7d": 0 }, "live_verdict": null, "meaning": "cannot be distinguished from luck with the data so far (NOT 'worthless')", "name": "strong" }, "any": { "backtest_beats_random_of_2000": { "14d": 2000, "28d": 2000, "7d": 1962 }, "backtest_test_observations": { "14d": 63, "28d": 59, "7d": 64 }, "backtest_verdict": "B", "live_observations": { "14d": 2, "28d": 1, "7d": 8 }, "live_verdict": null, "meaning": "partial: proven on at least one horizon only", "name": "any signal (tiers 1-3 together)" } }, "what_you_pay_for": "You pay for measured, Bitcoin-timestamped on-chain data (capital inflow, holder value, prices) whose value does not depend on whether the signal predicts prices. The signal's predictive power is a separate claim, shown per tier in track_record; it is not yet proven on the live record. No return is promised. Not investment advice." } }, "type": "json" }