One resolved forecasting question (crypto price moves, NFL games and NFL player ...
https://x402-archive.claimcheck.workers.dev/v1/calibration/question/:qidOverview
One resolved forecasting question (crypto price moves, NFL games and NFL player props): the probability each forecasting method gave, marked as made before or after the close, the outcome, and each method's score. Useful for auditing a forecaster on a specific question.
Protocol
x402
Price
$0.01
Payment Asset
USD Coin
Payment Network
eip155:8453
Category
real-time-data/weather
Provider
Forecast track records
Source
bazaar
Indexed
2026-11-07 21:08:00
Health
Status
unknown
Latency (p50)
—
Uptime (30d)
—
Reliability Score
—
Last Checked
Never
Last Healthy
Never
Consecutive Failures
0
x402 Payment Validation
Payment Requirements
—
Asset Verified
—
Facilitator
—
Input Schema
{
"method": "GET",
"pathParams": {
"qid": "q_fac4d36ab73d0ec3"
},
"queryParams": {},
"type": "http"
}
Output Schema
{
"example": {
"answer": {
"domain": "props",
"forecasts": [
{
"abstained": false,
"arm": "arm1:refclass-bayes",
"arm_version": "1.0.0",
"before_close": false,
"brier": 0.0705943048520665,
"log_score": -0.30883201452607834,
"made_at": "2026-09-12T02:58:00Z",
"probability": 0.26569588790959203,
"state": "scored"
},
{
"abstained": false,
"arm": "arm1:refclass-bayes",
"arm_version": "1.0.0",
"before_close": false,
"brier": 0.0705943048520665,
"log_score": -0.30883201452607834,
"made_at": "2026-09-12T02:59:34Z",
"probability": 0.26569588790959203,
"state": "scored"
}
],
"question": {
"closes_at": "2026-09-10T00:20:00Z",
"source": "nfl-props",
"text": "Will A.J. Brown score a rushing or receiving touchdown in NE @ SEA (kickoff 2026-09-10T00:20:00Z)?",
"type": "binary"
},
"question_id": "q_fac4d36ab73d0ec3",
"resolution": {
"outcome": "NO",
"settled_at": "2026-09-12T02:58:09Z"
},
"scored": 4,
"status": "resolved"
},
"kind": "calibration.question",
"licence": "For the buyer's own use. No redistribution. No warranty: these are research notes about fringe-physics literature and the outputs of experimental forecasting arms, not advice.",
"proof": {
"root": "0185d1fff3ed907ec369f29eaee9e85d5ec0bd06373c0abc2c264ad19ada1acd",
"store": "forecast-questions"
}
},
"type": "json"
}