An open forecasting question: the latest probability from each forecasting metho...
https://x402-archive.claimcheck.workers.dev/v1/live/question/:qidOverview
An open forecasting question: the latest probability from each forecasting method that answered, with when it was made, each method's name and version, and which methods abstained. Unknown or closed ids get a free 404.
Protocol
x402
Price
$0.01
Payment Asset
USD Coin
Payment Network
eip155:8453
Category
real-time-data/weather
Provider
Forecast track records
Source
bazaar
Indexed
2026-11-07 21:08:00
Health
Status
unknown
Latency (p50)
—
Uptime (30d)
—
Reliability Score
—
Last Checked
Never
Last Healthy
Never
Consecutive Failures
0
x402 Payment Validation
Payment Requirements
—
Asset Verified
—
Facilitator
—
Input Schema
{
"method": "GET",
"pathParams": {
"qid": "q_006c57073d3c930e"
},
"queryParams": {},
"type": "http"
}
Output Schema
{
"example": {
"answer": {
"domain": "manifold",
"open": true,
"probabilities": [
{
"abstained": false,
"arm": "arm-naive-half",
"arm_version": "1.0.0",
"before_close": true,
"made_at": "2026-11-03T06:38:20Z",
"probability": 0.5
},
{
"abstained": false,
"arm": "arm4:refclass-general",
"arm_version": "1.0.0",
"before_close": true,
"made_at": "2026-11-03T06:38:28Z",
"probability": 0.21621250298828593
}
],
"question": {
"closes_at": "2027-01-02T05:59:00Z",
"source": "manifold",
"text": "Will Boeing declare bankruptcy or shut down before the end of 2026?",
"type": "binary"
},
"question_id": "q_006c57073d3c930e",
"status": "open"
},
"kind": "live.question",
"licence": "For the buyer's own use. No redistribution. No warranty: these are research notes about fringe-physics literature and the outputs of experimental forecasting arms, not advice.",
"proof": {
"root": "0185d1fff3ed907ec369f29eaee9e85d5ec0bd06373c0abc2c264ad19ada1acd",
"store": "forecast-questions"
}
},
"type": "json"
}