French presidential election 2027, first round: poll average, 95 percent band an...
https://api.polls.karbach.digital/v1/france/presidential-2027Overview
French presidential election 2027, first round: poll average, 95 percent band and runoff chance per candidate, most likely runoff pairs, recent campaign events. Unavailable during the legal blackout (Saturday 00:00 until 20:00 on election day, Paris time: 17 to 18 Apr and 1 to 2 May 2027). Use when asked who leads the 2027 French presidential election or who reaches the runoff. Source-attributed. Refused (503, not charged) if data is older than 30 hours.
Protocol
x402
Price
$0.02
Payment Asset
USD Coin
Payment Network
eip155:8453
Category
uncategorized
Provider
polls.karbach.digital
Source
bazaar
Indexed
2026-10-21 22:23:41
Health
Status
degraded
Latency (p50)
163ms
Uptime (30d)
100.0%
Reliability Score
100/100
Last Checked
2026-10-31 07:14:55
Last Healthy
2026-10-28 14:12:39
Consecutive Failures
0
x402 Payment Validation
Payment Requirements
Invalid
Asset Verified
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Facilitator
—
Input Schema
{
"method": "GET",
"type": "http"
}
Output Schema
{
"example": {
"data": {
"days_to_first_round": 0,
"election": "Présidentielle 2027",
"events": [
{
"date": "0000-00-00",
"text": "Bruno Retailleau est désigné candidat des Républicains (LR) par les adhérents du parti"
},
{
"date": "0000-00-00",
"text": "Fabien Roussel, secrétaire général du Parti communiste français (PCF), officialise sa candidature"
}
],
"first_round": "2027-04-18",
"first_round_forecast": [
{
"ci95": [
0,
0
],
"median": 0,
"name": "Arthaud",
"p_first": 0,
"p_runoff": 0,
"party": "LO",
"party_name": "Lutte ouvrière",
"poll_average": 0
},
{
"ci95": [
0,
0
],
"median": 0,
"name": "Attal",
"p_first": 0,
"p_runoff": 0,
"party": "RE",
"party_name": "Renaissance",
"poll_average": 0
}
],
"reference_field": [
"Arthaud",
"Attal"
],
"runoff_pairs_probability": {
"Candidate A vs Candidate B": 0
},
"second_round": "2027-05-02"
},
"docs": "https://api.polls.karbach.digital/v1/",
"model": {
"method": "weighted poll average of the last 45 days (half-life 10 days), scenario closest to the most polled field, Monte Carlo with errors measured in 2017 and 2022",
"polls_used": 0
},
"notice": "Scenario analysis based on published opinion polls. Not a prediction and not a voting recommendation. Coalition figures count simulated seat majorities (see ...",
"project": "Ein Projekt von Karbach.Digital (https://karbach.digital)",
"source": {
"blackout": "French law (Loi 77-808, art. 11, as amended 2016) bans publishing polls from the Saturday before each round, 00:00, until polls close on election day, 20:00 ...",
"calibration": "poll average vs official results 2017 and 2022 at the same distance to election day",
"compilation": "fr.wikipedia.org, Liste de sondages sur l'élection présidentielle française de 2027 (CC BY-SA 4.0)",
"license": "CC BY-SA 4.0 (share alike, because the poll compilation is CC BY-SA)",
"polls": "French polling institutes; every poll is filed with the Commission des sondages (link per poll)",
"polls_license": "ODbL 1.0",
"polls_license_url": "https://opendatacommons.org/licenses/odbl/1-0/",
"processing": "polls.karbach.digital (Max Karbach)"
},
"uncertainty": "95 percent band per candidate; error sd = 1.787 x sqrt(share), taken from the 2017 and 2022 poll errors at this distance to election day",
"updated_at": "0000-00-00T00:00:00"
},
"type": "json"
}