【宏觀對帳】市場隱含 vs 官方已實現(無參數):Kalshi 市場隱含點位 × BLS 官方已實現值,逐指標對位 + 背離量 + 判讀。對位鍵(reconci...
https://aeml-x402.zeabur.app/gauge/macro-reconcile-fullOverview
【宏觀對帳】市場隱含 vs 官方已實現(無參數):Kalshi 市場隱含點位 × BLS 官方已實現值,逐指標對位 + 背離量 + 判讀。對位鍵(reconciles_with)為我方策展映射,BLS 與 Kalshi 皆不提供。免費預覽(有哪些配對、多新)見 /gauge/macro-reconcile。market-implied vs official-realized reconciliation for prediction-market research agents;官方源 BLS(T1)+ Kalshi(viewpoint);純描述不判斷、不預測
Protocol
x402
Price
$0.10
Payment Asset
USD Coin
Payment Network
Base
Category
tools/search
Provider
aeml-x402
Source
bazaar
Indexed
2026-07-25 10:05:17
Health
Status
unknown
Latency (p50)
—
Uptime (30d)
—
Reliability Score
—
Last Checked
Never
Last Healthy
Never
Consecutive Failures
0
x402 Payment Validation
Payment Requirements
—
Asset Verified
—
Facilitator
—
Input Schema
{
"discoverable": true,
"method": "GET",
"type": "http"
}
Output Schema
{
"additionalProperties": true,
"properties": {
"_citation": {
"description": "離線可驗證引用:{statement_type, not_advice:bool, claim, fact, source, record_hash, signature(Ed25519), key_id, issuer_DID(did:key), verify_url}。零信任自驗的信任根",
"type": [
"object",
"null"
]
},
"addon": {
"description": "(條件性:僅 /gauge/air|precip 子端點回傳)加值線標記",
"enum": [
"air",
"precip"
],
"type": "string"
},
"change": {
"description": "變動。★按 metric 巢狀:change.<metric>={delta, direction};另有純量 change.period(如 \"vs_previous\")。direction 枚舉 rising/falling/stable",
"type": [
"object",
"null"
]
},
"current": {
"description": "當前讀數。★內部 metric 結構隨 signal 而異(crypto→{price_usd,volume_24h,...};shipping→{wind_kmh,wave_height_m,...})。單位以欄名後綴標示,另見 standard_ruler.unit",
"type": [
"object",
"null"
]
},
"data_age_hours": {
"description": "★採集當下凍結的齡(0=同小時),僅供參考——採集器停擺時本欄會凍結不動。判新鮮請一律用 provenance.age_hours_now(request-time 現算齡)與 provenance.freshness;門檻依據見 provenance.freshness_basis",
"type": [
"number",
"null"
]
},
"decision_points": {
"description": "{count, points:[{tag,current,swappable,how}], note}。可換標籤重跑的決策點(換一個標籤=一次呼叫);不換用原語境為預設、不額外收費",
"type": [
"object",
"null"
]
},
"dim": {
"description": "(條件性:僅 /gauge/ruler|calibrated|strata|history 子端點回傳)外掛維度標記",
"enum": [
"ruler",
"calibrated",
"strata",
"history"
],
"type": "string"
},
"entity": {
"description": "監測對象 id(如 btc / us / hormuz);完整可查清單見免費 /gauge/catalog 或 /gauge/preview",
"type": "string"
},
"entity_name": {
"description": "對象人類可讀名",
"type": [
"string",
"null"
]
},
"grade": {
"description": "資料分級誠實揭露(如 \"screening-level, not decision-grade\")",
"type": [
"string",
"null"
]
},
"nature": {
"description": "中立聲明:GAUGE 只提供觀測與走勢描述,不判斷、不預測、不建議",
"type": "string"
},
"note": {
"description": "(條件性)端點特定誠實揭露(邊界/粒度/免責);部分端點不回",
"type": "string"
},
"observed_at": {
"description": "資料真實觀測時間 ISO-8601",
"type": "string"
},
"ots_status": {
"description": "OpenTimestamps 比特幣錨定狀態:pending(尚未錨定,record_hash+Ed25519 仍即時可驗) / anchored(已上鏈) / null",
"type": [
"string",
"null"
]
},
"previous": {
"description": "上一期讀數(current 的 metric 子集;或 {note} 說明無前值)",
"type": [
"object",
"null"
]
},
"provenance": {
"description": "資料血緣:{served_from, data_as_of, oldest_leg_as_of, data_age_hours(凍結齡,參考), age_hours_now(request-time 現算齡=freshness 的真依據), freshness(fresh|recent|stale), freshness_basis(該筆用的 cadence 與門檻,字串), dead_source(選配:源頭凍結/停產), data_lineage:[{signal,traceable_to,uncertainty,record_hash,...}], validation_status}。freshness 為 cadence-aware(月/季/年頻官方線不以 24h 誤判);同一判準與免費 /gauge/coverage 共用。買家可溯源到官方源",
"type": [
"object",
"null"
]
},
"record_hash": {
"description": "sha256:<64hex>(A 契約 v3,綁數值+provenance)。★離線重算 core 需要完整記錄欄位(snapshot_date/current/完整 standard_ruler/sources/source_tier)=主力 /gauge 交付的形狀;$0.01–0.03 的單維外掛(ruler/calibrated/strata/history)交付的是【投影】,同一枚 hash 請以免費 /gauge/verify 覆核(我方重讀 DB 重算),或改買 /gauge 取完整 core 自行離線重算。無法雜湊時 null",
"type": [
"string",
"null"
]
},
"scope": {
"description": "範圍與邊界誠實聲明(監測非預報、情報非指揮、可驗證保證的邊界)",
"type": [
"string",
"null"
]
},
"signal_id": {
"description": "調取標籤(屬.種 ASCII 雙名法,如 crypto.spot / macro.unemployment / shipping.route-disruption);完整可查清單見免費 /gauge/catalog",
"type": "string"
},
"snapshot_date": {
"description": "ISO-8601 date-time(UTC,如 2026-07-24T00:00:00.000Z;當日切齊零時)",
"type": "string"
},
"source_agreement_cv": {
"description": "多源一致性變異係數(越小越一致);單源或不適用→null",
"type": [
"number",
"null"
]
},
"source_ref": {
"description": "官方來源 URL(provenance)",
"type": [
"string",
"null"
]
},
"source_tier": {
"description": "來源層級:T1(第一手官方) / T2 或 T2-<子類,如 T2-exchange>(可觀察·策展) / screen-viewpoint;null=未定級(見 unverified)",
"type": [
"string",
"null"
]
},
"sources": {
"description": "來源清單 [{name, value, weight, as_of, role}];多源時佐證 current",
"items": {
"type": "object"
},
"type": [
"array",
"null"
]
},
"standard_ruler": {
"description": "官方標準尺(band/閾值/normalized_index/pct_to_action;含 unit 與出處;無官方尺→null)。★內部結構隨 signal 而異",
"type": [
"object",
"null"
]
},
"stat_ruler": {
"description": "統計尺(近5年同季節經驗百分位落點;無統計→null)",
"type": [
"object",
"null"
]
},
"strata": {
"description": "統計分層(近5年同季節各官方層占比 + 現值落層;無統計→null)",
"type": [
"object",
"null"
]
},
"summary_zh": {
"description": "人類可讀總結(一句話 + 官方尺深淺 + 統計落點)",
"type": [
"string",
"null"
]
},
"tier": {
"description": "單點主力/歷史序列回傳標記(full / history-series);與 dim/addon 互斥",
"type": "string"
},
"trend_7d": {
"description": "近7期走勢點陣列;[]=此 signal 不適用或尚無序列(非錯誤)",
"items": {
"type": "object"
},
"type": [
"array",
"null"
]
},
"unverified": {
"description": "true=來源未定級(source_tier 為 null);買家/代理可據此過濾未定級資料",
"type": "boolean"
}
},
"required": [
"nature"
],
"type": "object"
}